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Extracts Risk Neutral Densities of Prices, Money Market Rates and Government Bond Yields from Interest Rates Futures Options Prices

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3.2Kdownloads / year
–test coverage
13/13flavors OK

Overview

About

Provides with parametric Risk Neutral Densities (RNDs) and cumulative densities of futures prices on fixed-income products. It relies on options on Short Term Interest Rate futures or options on government bond futures. It models the futures price at options' maturity as a mixture of lognormal densities. Leveraging on this, the package provides with the RNDs and cumulative densities of the money market rate or the government bond yield inferred from the futures price, using the RND of the futures price. The package also extracts from options prices on bond futures in one go the RND of the cheapest-to-deliver (ctd) bond repo rate from options' to futures' maturity and the RND of the ctd bond yield at options' maturity. The package also provides with the probability attached to each bond in the delivery basket of a government bond futures to be the cheapest at options' maturity from an examination of either the implied repo rate or the net basis of bonds in the delivery basket. At last, the package provides with the non parametric distribution of the spread between two bond yields, using two RNDs based on options on bond futures of the same maturity. The package leverages on the works of Melick, W. R. and Thomas, C. P. (1997) doi:10.2307/2331318 and B. Bahra (1998) doi:10.2139/ssrn.77429.

Install

Health

CRAN checks
13OK
Slowest check: 11.2 min · r-oldrel-windows-x86_64
Status changes
  • OK13 OK2026-08-04
  • NOTE12 OK, 1 NOTE2026-08-01
  • OK13 OK2026-06-27
  • ERROR12 OK, 1 ERROR2026-06-21
  • OK12 OK2026-04-25
Show 2 earlier changesHide 2 earlier changes
  • NOTE13 OK, 1 NOTE2026-04-16
  • OK14 OK2026-03-10
Advisories

none known

Documentation

In release 0.1.7
READMENoVignettesYes · 1 · dynamicNEWSNoCitation fileNoWebsitenot declared in DESCRIPTION
Help pages
13
Examples that run
0%9 only when donttest examples are enabled (R CMD check --as-cran) · 4 never run
Exported functions with examples
100%
Documented parameters
100%
Return-value docs
100%
Help pages citing references
0%
Vignettes (1)

Downloads

3.2K
CRAN downloads in the past year
Rank #12,350 · ~9/day · ~266/mo
Daily download trend is not available in this view yet.
37130 days
89590 days
3.2K1 year
Compare downloads with other packages →
Also on86 r2u3 autocran

Dependencies

Declared dependencies
11 external dependencies (excludes base and recommended)

Installing yrnd adds 37 packages (21 with compiled code, 45 MB of source tarballs). Heaviest: BH 14 MB, stringi 11 MB, ggplot2 6.0 MB.

Depends (0)
none
LinkingTo (0)
none
Suggests (2)
Enhances (0)
none
Reverse dependencies
0direct
0indirect

Nothing depends on this yet.

People & History

People (1)
Author, Maintainer since 0.1.0 (2026)
Releases (8)

Pick two releases to compare their code metrics.

  • 0.1.7Latest
    record
    2026-09-30 · current release · diff ↗ ·
    added 1 export
    proba_ctd_irr
  • 0.1.6
    record
    2026-08-28 · diff ↗ ·
    added 1 export
    bond_fut_irr_ytm
  • 0.1.5
    record
    2026-07-21 · diff ↗ ·
    added 2 exports
    bond_yield_spread, proba_ctd_opt
  • 0.1.4
    record
    2026-06-14 · diff ↗ ·
    added 2 exports
    deliv_bonds_charac_bbg, proba_ctd
  • 0.1.3
    record
    2026-05-15 · diff ↗ ·
    added 1 export
    stir_future_charac_bbg
  • R
    R 4.6.0 released · 2026-04-24
  • 0.1.2
    record
    2026-04-15 · diff ↗ ·
    added 1 export
    option_prices_bbg
  • 0.1.1
    record
    2026-03-15 · diff ↗ ·
    added 1 export
    bond_future_charac_bbg
  • 0.1.0
    record
    2026-02-18
  • R
    R 4.5.0 released · 2025-04-11

Package metadata

First published
2026-02-18
Total releases
8 / 1 yrs
License
GPL-3 OSI
Download size
107 KB

Cite

Cite this package

Run in R for the authors' preferred citation:

citation("yrnd")
Arrata, W. (2026). yrnd: Extracts Risk Neutral Densities of Prices, Money Market Rates and Government Bond Yields from Interest Rates Futures Options Prices (Version 0.1.7) [Computer software]. https://doi.org/10.32614/CRAN.package.yrnd

This package has no citation file, so citation() returns this entry built from DESCRIPTION.

Cite the R Observatory

For a number measured here: a download total, a coverage figure, an archival date.

APA

Balamuta, J. J. (2026). R Observatory: Metrics for yrnd version 0.1.7 [Data set]. HJJB, LLC. Data release v2026-10-21. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21843040

From data release v2026-10-21, which the citation names so these numbers can be found later. More on citing and the projects behind them.

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