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Probability of Backtest Overfitting

0packages depend
3.2Kdownloads / year
16.7%test coverage
8/13flavors OK

Overview

About

Following the method of Bailey et al., computes for a collection of candidate models the probability of backtest overfitting, the performance degradation and probability of loss, and the stochastic dominance.

Changes in 1.3.5
  • Updates to appease CRAN checks.
  • Added a NEWS.md file to track changes to the package.

From NEWS.md in the release

Install

Health

CRAN checks
5NOTE8OK
Check messages
NOTEdependencies in R coder-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-clang, r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc, r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang, r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc, r-devel-windows-x86_64

r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-clang, r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc, r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang, r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc

Base package in Suggests/Enhances imported in NAMESPACE:
  ‘grid’

r-devel-windows-x86_64

Base package in Suggests/Enhances imported in NAMESPACE:
  'grid'

CRAN check page ↗

Slowest check: 1.1 min · r-oldrel-windows-x86_64
Status changes
  • NOTE8 OK, 5 NOTENow
  • NOTE11 OK, 2 NOTE2026-09-12
  • OK13 OK2026-08-05
  • NOTE12 OK, 1 NOTE2026-08-01
  • OK14 OK2026-03-10
Advisories

none known

Documentation

In release 1.3.5
READMEYes · 286 wordsVignettesYes · 1 · dynamicNEWSYes · 67% structured · mentions 1.3.5Citation fileNoWebsitenot declared in DESCRIPTION
Help pages
6includes a package overview page
Examples that run
0%1 never run
Exported functions with examples
100%
Documented parameters
100%
Return-value docs
100%
Help pages citing references
33%

Downloads

3.2K
CRAN downloads in the past year
Rank #10,592 · ~9/day · ~263/mo
Daily download trend is not available in this view yet.
36430 days
98590 days
3.2K1 year
Compare downloads with other packages →
Also on92 r2u5 autocran165 c2d4u

Repository

51Stars
16Forks
5Open issues
1Open PRs
0Releases
44Commits
2Commit identities
44 commits · Last activity 2022-05-26 · 0% stars, 30d
Responsiveness
How these are sampled
PRs merged (all time)
not measured
Median days to close, 50 most recently updated closed issues
1
Median days to close, 50 most recently updated closed PRs
not measured

Stars over time

2025-06-19 · 482026-07-07 · 51
PracticesBeta

3 development-tooling and community-health practices detected across 2 families in the upstream repository

Checks run against github.com/mrbcuda/pbo on 2026-10-21.

CRAN release process (2)
cran-comments.mdCRAN-SUBMISSION
Lint, format, editor (1)
RStudio project
How this is detected·Detection ruleset v4 (2026-10-20)

Dependencies

Declared dependencies
7 external dependencies (excludes base and recommended)

Installing pbo adds 10 packages (6 with compiled code, 6.3 MB of source tarballs). Heaviest: Rcpp 1.8 MB, RcppEigen 1.7 MB, latticeExtra 1.2 MB.

Depends (1)
R >= 4.0.0
Imports (4)
LinkingTo (0)
none
Enhances (0)
none
Reverse dependencies
0direct
0indirect

Nothing depends on this yet.

People & History

People (1)
Author, Maintainer since 1.3.4 (2014)
Releases (2)

Pick two releases to compare their code metrics.

  • R
    R 4.6.0 released · 2026-04-24
  • R
    R 4.5.0 released · 2025-04-11
  • R
    R 4.4.0 released · 2024-04-24
  • R
    R 4.3.0 released · 2023-04-21
  • 1.3.5Latest
    record
    2022-05-26 · current release · diff ↗
  • R
    R 4.2.0 released · 2022-04-22
  • R
    R 4.1.0 released · 2021-05-18
  • R
    R 4.0.0 released · 2020-04-24
  • R
    R 3.6.0 released · 2019-04-26
  • R
    R 3.5.0 released · 2018-04-23
  • R
    R 3.4.0 released · 2017-04-21
  • R
    R 3.3.0 released · 2016-05-03
  • R
    R 3.2.0 released · 2015-04-16
  • 1.3.4
    record
    2014-05-31
  • R
    R 3.1.0 released · 2014-04-10

Package metadata

First published
2014-05-31
Total releases
2 / 12 yrs
License
MIT + file LICENSE OSI
Minimum R
≥ 4.0.0
Download size
1.0 MB
Appears in task views

Cite

Cite this package

Run in R for the authors' preferred citation:

citation("pbo")
Barry, M. (2022). pbo: Probability of Backtest Overfitting (Version 1.3.5) [Computer software]. https://doi.org/10.32614/CRAN.package.pbo

This package has no citation file, so citation() returns this entry built from DESCRIPTION.

Cite the R Observatory

For a number measured here: a download total, a coverage figure, an archival date.

APA

Balamuta, J. J. (2026). R Observatory: Metrics for pbo version 1.3.5 [Data set]. HJJB, LLC. Data release v2026-10-24. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21843040

From data release v2026-10-24, which the citation names so these numbers can be found later. More on citing and the projects behind them.

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