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GARCHInfoLSTM

0.1.0Package record

GARCH-Informed LSTM Model for Volatility Forecasting

0packages depend
471downloads / year
0.0%test coverage
13/13flavors OK

Overview

About

The proposed Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-informed Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model follows the concept of physics-informed machine learning (PIML) by integrating established econometric knowledge of price volatility into a data-driven forecasting framework. In the model, conditional volatility estimated from the GARCH process is incorporated as an additional explanatory signal or volatility-based weighting component within the LSTM architecture. This enables the LSTM to learn nonlinear temporal dependencies while remaining informed by the underlying characteristics of agricultural price series, including volatility clustering, heteroscedasticity and market uncertainty. The optimized weighting parameter, lambda, controls the contribution of the GARCH-derived volatility information to the final prediction. Thus, the model combines the statistical interpretability of GARCH with the nonlinear learning capability of LSTM, producing a hybrid PIML framework that is more responsive to both normal price movements and periods of extreme market volatility. The methodology is motivated by hybrid forecasting framework proposed by Yeasin and Paul (2024) doi:10.1007/s11227-023-05542-3.

Install

Health

CRAN checks
13OK
Slowest check: 57 s · r-oldrel-windows-x86_64
Status changes
  • OK13 OKNow
  • OK5 OK2026-09-22
Advisories

none known

Documentation

In release 0.1.0
READMEYes · 340 wordsVignettesNoNEWSNoCitation fileNoWebsitenot declared in DESCRIPTION
Help pages
5
Examples that run
0%4 only when donttest examples are enabled (R CMD check --as-cran)
Exported functions with examples
80%
Documented parameters
100%
Return-value docs
100%
Help pages citing references
0%

Downloads

471
CRAN downloads in the past year
Rank #24,778 · ~1/day · ~39/mo
Daily download trend is not available in this view yet.
37530 days
47190 days
4711 year
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Dependencies

Declared dependencies
5 external dependencies (excludes base and recommended)

Installing GARCHInfoLSTM adds 58 packages (34 with compiled code, 34 MB of source tarballs). Heaviest: ggplot2 6.0 MB, mclust 2.7 MB, rugarch 2.6 MB.

Depends (0)
none
Imports (7)
LinkingTo (0)
none
Suggests (0)
none
Enhances (0)
none
Reverse dependencies
0direct
0indirect

Nothing depends on this yet.

People & History

People (4)
Author, Maintainer since 0.1.0 (2026)
Author
Releases (1)
  • 0.1.0Latest
    2026-09-21 · current release
  • R
    R 4.6.0 released · 2026-04-24

Package metadata

First published
2026-09-21
Total releases
1 / 1 yrs
License
MIT + file LICENSE OSI
Download size
22 KB

Cite

Cite this package

Run in R for the authors' preferred citation:

citation("GARCHInfoLSTM")
Paul, R. K., Bora, P., Mandal, M., & Yeasin, M. (2026). GARCHInfoLSTM: GARCH-Informed LSTM Model for Volatility Forecasting (Version 0.1.0) [Computer software]. https://doi.org/10.32614/CRAN.package.GARCHInfoLSTM

This package has no citation file, so citation() returns this entry built from DESCRIPTION.

Cite the R Observatory

For a number measured here: a download total, a coverage figure, an archival date.

APA

Balamuta, J. J. (2026). R Observatory: Metrics for GARCHInfoLSTM version 0.1.0 [Data set]. HJJB, LLC. Data release v2026-10-26. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21843040

From data release v2026-10-26, which the citation names so these numbers can be found later. More on citing and the projects behind them.

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