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EpiNow2

1.9.0

Estimate and Forecast Real-Time Infection Dynamics

0packages depend
12Kdownloads / year
70.0%test coverage
13/13checks pass

Overview

About
Maintained by Sebastian FunkFirst published 2020-09-0116 releasesCRAN page ↗GitHub ↗

Estimates the time-varying reproduction number, rate of spread, and doubling time using a renewal equation approach combined with Bayesian inference via Stan. Supports Gaussian process and random walk priors for modelling changes in transmission over time. Accounts for delays between infection and observation (incubation period, reporting delays), right-truncation in recent data, day-of-week effects, and observation overdispersion. Can estimate relationships between primary and secondary outcomes (e.g., cases to hospitalisations or deaths) and forecast both. Runs across multiple regions in parallel. Based on Abbott et al. (2020) doi:10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.1 and Gostic et al. (2020) doi:10.1101/2020.06.18.20134858.

Install

Health

CRAN checks
13OK
Slowest check: 32.6 min · r-oldrel-windows-x86_64
Check history
  • OK2026-08-05
    13 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • NOTE2026-08-01
    12 OK · 1 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • OK2026-07-29
    13 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • ERROR2026-07-27
    12 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 1 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • OK2026-04-25
    12 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
Show 5 earlier snapshots
  • NOTE2026-04-22
    11 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • ERROR2026-04-18
    10 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 1 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • NOTE2026-03-18
    11 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • WARNING2026-03-17
    11 OK · 2 NOTE · 1 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
  • NOTE2026-03-10
    11 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE

Documentation

Documentation signals are not tracked yet for this package.

Downloads

12K
CRAN downloads in the past year
Rank #3,846 · ~33/day · ~996/mo
EpiNow2
Daily download trend is not available in this view yet.
63030 days
2.3K90 days
12K1 year
Compare downloads with other packages →
Also on522 r2u16 autocran13 c2d4u

Repository

Repository
141Stars
40Forks
65Open issues
10Open PRs
20Releases
1,912Commits
35Contributors
backcalculationreproduction-numberopen-sourcerstatscovid-19stangaussian-processes
1,912 commits · Last activity 2026-08-17 · +0.7% stars, 30d

Repository practices

Upstream repositoryBeta

12 development-tooling and community-health practices detected across 9 families in the upstream repository

Checks run against github.com/epiforecasts/epinow2 on 2026-08-16.

Continuous integration (1)
GitHub Actions
Reproducibility and dev environment (1)
data-raw/
CRAN release process (1)
cran-comments.md
Docs source (1)
README.Rmd
Show all practices
Research and citation (1)
CITATION.cff
Automation and maintenance (2)
Dependabotpre-commit
Lint, format, editor (2)
lintrRStudio project
Coverage (1)
Codecov
Governance and community (2)
Issue templatesPR template
How this is detected·Detection ruleset v1 (2026-07-18)

Development tooling

AI-assisted toolingBeta

Uses AI-assisted development tooling (declared in repo)

Earliest detected marker: claude on 2025-11-05

claude

Most recent: claude on 2025-11-05

Evidence
  • claude: on 2025-11-05 · evidence A, B, D · sole bot-author seen
How this is detected·Detection ruleset v2 (updated 2026-07-29)

Dependencies

Reverse dependencies
0direct
0indirect

Nothing depends on this yet.

Code & Tests

People & History

People (21)
Maintainer (1)
Author, Maintainer
Authors (10)
Author, Maintainer
Author · added in 1.3.4
Author · added in 1.4.0
Author · added in 1.2.1
Author · added in 1.2.1
Author · added in 1.8.0
Contributors (11)
Contributor
Contributor · added in 1.3.4
Contributor
Contributor · added in 1.8.0
Contributor · added in 1.4.0
Contributor · added in 1.6.0
Contributor
Contributor
Show 3 more contributors
Contributor · added in 1.3.4
Contributor
Contributor
Listed in earlier versions (2)
no longer listed · 1.1.0 to 1.7.1
no longer listed · 1.2.1 to 1.3.2
Package Timeline

16 releases. R releases are shown for context.

  • 1.9.0Latest
    2026-06-17 · current release · diff ↗
  • R
    R 4.6.0 released · 2026-04-24
  • 1.8.0
    2026-02-05 · diff ↗
  • R
    R 4.5.0 released · 2025-04-11
  • 1.7.1
    2025-02-20 · diff ↗
  • 1.7.0
    2025-02-05 · diff ↗
  • 1.6.1
    2024-10-31 · diff ↗
  • 1.6.0
    2024-10-02 · diff ↗
  • 1.5.2
    2024-05-17 · diff ↗
  • 1.5.1
    2024-05-14 · diff ↗
  • 1.5.0
    2024-05-10 · diff ↗
  • R
    R 4.4.0 released · 2024-04-24
  • 1.4.0
    2023-09-26 · diff ↗
  • 1.3.5
    2023-04-27 · diff ↗
  • unarchivedReturned to CRAN
    2023-04-27
  • R
    R 4.3.0 released · 2023-04-21
Show 11 earlier events
  • archivedRemoved from CRAN
    2023-03-02
    issues were not corrected in time
  • 1.3.4
    2023-02-12 · diff ↗
  • unarchivedReturned to CRAN
    2023-02-12
  • archivedRemoved from CRAN
    2022-10-19
    issues were not corrected in time
  • R
    R 4.2.0 released · 2022-04-22
  • R
    R 4.1.0 released · 2021-05-18
  • 1.3.2
    2020-12-14 · diff ↗
  • 1.3.1
    2020-11-22 · diff ↗
  • 1.2.1
    2020-10-20 · diff ↗
  • 1.1.0
    2020-09-01
  • R
    R 4.0.0 released · 2020-04-24

Package metadata

First published
2020-09-01
Total releases
16 / 6 yrs
License
MIT + file LICENSE OSI
Download size
6.6 MB
Installed size
not tracked yet
With dependencies
not tracked yet
Appears in task views

Cite

Cite this package

Run in R for the authors' preferred citation:

citation("EpiNow2")

The authors publish a CITATION.cff, so they have said how they want this cited. Run citation() and use what it gives you.

Cite the R Observatory

For a number measured here: a download total, a coverage figure, an archival date.

APA

Balamuta, J. J. (2026). R Observatory: Metrics for EpiNow2 version 1.9.0 [Data set]. HJJB, LLC. Data release v2026-08-18. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21843040

From data release v2026-08-18, which the citation names so these numbers can be found later. More on citing and the projects behind them.

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