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BINtools

0.2.0Package record

Bayesian BIN (Bias, Information, Noise) Model of Forecasting

0packages depend
3.8Kdownloads / year
70.6%test coverage
13/13flavors OK

Overview

About

A recently proposed Bayesian BIN model disentangles the underlying processes that enable forecasters and forecasting methods to improve, decomposing forecasting accuracy into three components: bias, partial information, and noise. By describing the differences between two groups of forecasters, the model allows the user to carry out useful inference, such as calculating the posterior probabilities of the treatment reducing bias, diminishing noise, or increasing information. It also provides insight into how much tamping down bias and noise in judgment or enhancing the efficient extraction of valid information from the environment improves forecasting accuracy. This package provides easy access to the BIN model. For further information refer to the paper Ville A. Satopää, Marat Salikhov, Philip E. Tetlock, and Barbara Mellers (2021) "Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting" doi:10.1287/mnsc.2020.3882.

Install

Health

CRAN checks
13OK
Slowest check: 28.1 min · r-oldrel-windows-x86_64
Status changes
  • OK13 OK2026-08-05
  • NOTE12 OK, 1 NOTE2026-08-01
  • OK13 OK2026-07-29
  • ERROR12 OK, 1 ERROR2026-07-27
  • OK12 OK2026-04-25
Show 3 earlier changesHide 3 earlier changes
  • NOTE11 OK, 3 NOTE2026-04-22
  • ERROR10 OK, 3 NOTE, 1 ERROR2026-04-18
  • NOTE11 OK, 3 NOTE2026-03-10
Advisories

none known

Documentation

In release 0.2.0
READMEYes · 64 wordsVignettesYes · 1 · staticNEWSYes · 100% structured · does not mention 0.2.0Citation fileNoWebsitenot declared in DESCRIPTION
Help pages
4includes a package overview page
Examples that run
0%3 only when donttest examples are enabled (R CMD check --as-cran)
Exported functions with examples
100%
Documented parameters
78%
Return-value docs
100%
Help pages citing references
25%
Vignettes (1)

Downloads

3.8K
CRAN downloads in the past year
Rank #10,437 · ~10/day · ~318/mo
Daily download trend is not available in this view yet.
34030 days
98790 days
3.8K1 year
Compare downloads with other packages →
Also on371 r2u43 autocran

Dependencies

Declared dependencies
19 external dependencies (excludes base and recommended)

Installing BINtools adds 53 packages (26 with compiled code, 56 MB of source tarballs). Heaviest: BH 14 MB, stringi 11 MB, ggplot2 6.0 MB.

Depends (1)
R >= 3.4.0
Enhances (0)
none
Reverse dependencies
0direct
0indirect

Nothing depends on this yet.

People & History

People (3)
Author, Maintainer since 0.1.0 (2021)
Releases (2)

Pick two releases to compare their code metrics.

  • R
    R 4.6.0 released · 2026-04-24
  • R
    R 4.5.0 released · 2025-04-11
  • R
    R 4.4.0 released · 2024-04-24
  • R
    R 4.3.0 released · 2023-04-21
  • R
    R 4.2.0 released · 2022-04-22
  • 0.2.0Latest
    record
    2022-04-04 · current release · diff ↗
  • 0.1.0
    record
    2021-06-10
  • R
    R 4.1.0 released · 2021-05-18

Package metadata

First published
2021-06-10
Total releases
2 / 5 yrs
License
GPL-3 OSI
Minimum R
≥ 3.4.0
Download size
92 KB

Cite

Cite this package

Run in R for the authors' preferred citation:

citation("BINtools")
Satopää, V., Moreno, E., & Salikhov, M. (2022). BINtools: Bayesian BIN (Bias, Information, Noise) Model of Forecasting (Version 0.2.0) [Computer software]. https://doi.org/10.32614/CRAN.package.BINtools

This package has no citation file, so citation() returns this entry built from DESCRIPTION.

Cite the R Observatory

For a number measured here: a download total, a coverage figure, an archival date.

APA

Balamuta, J. J. (2026). R Observatory: Metrics for BINtools version 0.2.0 [Data set]. HJJB, LLC. Data release v2026-10-22. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21843040

From data release v2026-10-22, which the citation names so these numbers can be found later. More on citing and the projects behind them.

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