cforecast
Conditional Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using VAR Models
Description
Provides tools for interpretable conditional forecasting and scenario analysis in reduced-form vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Implements a Kalman smoothing framework to generate forecasts under path restrictions on selected variables. The package enables decomposition of conditional forecasts into variable-specific contributions, and extraction of observation weights. It also computes measures of overall and marginal variable importance to enhance the economic interpretation of forecast revisions. The framework is structurally agnostic and suited for policy analysis, stress testing, and macro-financial applications. The methodology is described in more detail in Caspi and Ginker (2026) <doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.25225.51040>.
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CRAN Check Status
Show all 13 flavors
| Flavor | Status |
|---|---|
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-patched-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-windows-x86_64 | OK |
Check History
OK 6 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE Mar 10, 2026
Code
Structure
Lines of code
1,081
Files
27
Compiled share
0%
Has compiled src
No
Language breakdown
API
Exported functions
5
Internal functions
0
Recent export changes
Testing & CI
Has tests
No
Test-to-code ratio
0.00
testthat edition
–
CI present
No
CI type
[]
PR gated
No
Docs
Return-value doc rate
100%
\dontrun example ratio
0%
Roxygen coverage
100%
Has pkgdown
No
NEWS present
Yes
Health & Security signals
Informational signals; not verdicts.
on.exit coverage
–
Unsafe pattern score
0
Dep constraint coverage
0%
Secret pattern count
0
Bundled 3rd-party code
2 items
Portability & License
Min R version
3.5.0
System requirements
–
C++ standard
–
License
GPL (>= 3)
License flags
SPDX valid, OSI approved
History
Versions
2
First release
2026-03-09
Latest release
2026-06-08
Avg cadence
91 days
Cold removal rate
–
Dep drift
1
LOC over versions
Per-file churn detail lives in the source pipeline: https://github.com/r-observatory/cran-code-metrics.
Dependency Network
Version History
2 trackedR Observatory began tracking this package on Mar 10, 2026; it first appeared on CRAN Mar 9, 2026. Releases before tracking aren’t shown.