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ModalForecast

Parametric Modal ARIMA Models using the SKD Family

v0.1.0 · May 12, 2026 · GPL-3

Description

Implements parametric modal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models utilizing the Skewed Distribution (SKD) family. Current distributions supported are the Skew-Normal, Skewed Student-t, and Skewed Laplace. The conditional mode is parameterized and optimized via maximum likelihood using analytical gradients. Includes comprehensive residual diagnostics, robustness options (heavy tails, asymmetry), robust parametric bootstrap prediction intervals, and classical asymptotic inference via the Fisher Information matrix. Methods are described in Galarza, C.E., Lachos, V.H., Cabral, C.R.B., & Castro, L.M. (2017) <doi:10.1002/sta4.140>.

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OK 7 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE May 13, 2026

Dependency Network

Dependencies Reverse dependencies forecast ggplot2 gridExtra scales ModalForecast

Version History

1 tracked
new 0.1.0 May 12, 2026